Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.328170 3.683051 4.067557 4.516385 5.027507 5.593291 6.269515
2025-07-20 2.867067 3.352352 3.915171 4.621078 5.489665 6.532437 7.892606
2025-07-27 2.580809 3.140084 3.821783 4.724000 5.901981 7.409370 9.519745
2025-08-03 2.360769 2.964003 3.728992 4.786551 6.236744 8.195118 11.109828
2025-08-10 2.177854 2.806759 3.631232 4.814094 6.506338 8.902451 12.670185
2025-08-17 1.970269 2.592719 3.430769 4.669892 6.505581 9.209796 13.665743
2025-08-24 1.821202 2.442625 3.300017 4.603685 6.599316 9.652021 14.915165
2025-08-31 1.705701 2.328243 3.206882 4.578285 6.743714 10.177964 16.365857
2025-09-07 1.649509 2.292692 3.222053 4.712906 7.145445 11.155550 18.736617
2025-09-14 1.559098 2.199478 3.142895 4.691182 7.288062 11.712429 20.431423
2025-09-21 1.472438 2.105323 3.054242 4.644362 7.380166 12.186700 22.038741
2025-09-28 1.356370 1.958993 2.874570 4.433215 7.167439 12.086210 22.482130
2025-10-05 1.301212 1.904810 2.838285 4.461635 7.385637 12.819697 24.805505
2025-10-12 1.262235 1.873376 2.835896 4.547082 7.715554 13.809736 27.881409
2025-10-19 1.228796 1.848250 2.841313 4.645395 8.078391 14.912448 31.445409
2025-10-26 1.190834 1.813124 2.827081 4.706296 8.374497 15.917486 34.998791
2025-11-02 1.149712 1.770118 2.796180 4.733219 8.604974 16.813153 38.481902
2025-11-09 1.083235 1.681050 2.680332 4.591965 8.479008 16.905129 39.861848
2025-11-16 1.034310 1.619035 2.607845 4.527108 8.504132 17.341312 42.287051
2025-11-23 0.995150 1.571624 2.558221 4.502225 8.610767 17.981098 45.450947
2025-11-30 0.982152 1.568569 2.587508 4.634098 9.070356 19.535604 51.780801
2025-12-07 0.947646 1.526010 2.542278 4.612819 9.186954 20.256824 55.694965
2025-12-14 0.911895 1.479501 2.487101 4.566955 9.242674 20.830267 59.285354